" Conservatives are not necessarily stupid, but most stupid people are conservatives. " - John Stuart Mill

Sunday 28 October 2012

The Change In China's Economy


Based on the Jakarta Post article on the 8th October 2012, the author, Ha Jiming has stated that ever since the 1970s, China has been renowned as the “World Factory” due to its low labor cost and superior manufacturing capabilities. This can be seen on a lot of products if you check the manufacturing label and see the words “made in China”. This production section of China is the main source of economical profit for China as at the end of year 2011, the manufacturing sector accounted for over 32% of China’s GDP and China also possessed the largest share of global trade at 10.6% which is 2.4% higher then US’ 8.2% which is according to the world bank.

As we all know, China has been a mass producer of goods for international trades. Thus China had been the “World Factory” for several decades due to its low labor cost while being superior in terms of production output. This clearly shows that China possesses both Comparative Advantage and Absolute Advantage over other countries when it comes to economical growth. Each of these advantages that China has over other countries is present due to the fact that China’s labor cost is low. This means that they perform the activity of producing goods with a lower opportunity cost compared to anyone else. In addition to this, China also has the Absolute Advantage over other countries due to the fact that they are able to produce a higher level of output compared to others. However, a country that has such an advantage over others can not retain both advantages at once due to the massive economical growth. Over the course of 30 years, China’s advantages in production became unsustainable due to its increasing labor costs and unstable number of laborers. Due to the change that laborers have had an increase in minimum wage by 19.7% China has lost its Comparative Advantage over other countries. The opportunity cost to perform a certain activity within China which involved laborers have increased dramatically thus losing the advantage.

However, due to the increase in the labor wage, the citizens of China have begun spending more in their daily lives. Being able to now afford luxury goods and high end products such as perfumes, branded goods, and clothing that costs a fortune, citizens of China now expend their income on such materialistic goods.  Not only has that, the citizens of China also begun to spend more frequently on services such as telecommunication, tourism and travel, education, healthcare and even insurance. For the sudden increase in expenditure on these there will be a need to upgrade the services and goods consumption which will in turn provide room for development for other sectors.

In addition to this, due to all the excess spending on goods, the sudden surge of demand has greatly indented the supply of the country. Chinese citizens have already emerged as major customers of worldwide branded goods which have had an increase of 20% of total purchases and this value is expected to rise. Chinese citizens now even prefer to eat meat rather then the usual rice grains. Also, in order to produce 1 kilogram of cow meat, 14 kilograms of rice grains would have to be used to feed it which would require the sector which produces the rice grains to supply more rice grains to the farmers who tend to cows. Moreover, due to the sudden demand in meat which in turns the sudden skyrocketing demand of grain, the supply of grain would not be sufficient enough at the moment this the prices of rice grains have increased dramatically.

This shows how the concept of supply and demand can be seen. In a given marketing situation, if the supply of a product is higher than the demand of the product then the price of the product would have to be lowered. This also applies in the other way as in if the demand of a product is higher than the supply of that given product then the price of that particular product would be high. If I were to sell pizzas for a school carnival I would first require a supply of pizzas. Let’s say I had only 20 slices of pizzas for sale but 50 of my classmates and friends wanted to buy it for lunch I would have to increase the prices of my pizza in order to curb the shortage of my pizzas. That being said my friends definitely would not be happy with me but they will still buy it from me due to hunger. This concept works the other way around as well. If I were to sell 20 pizza slices but only 5 of my friends wanted to buy it because they eat it everyday and I overcharge, I will have to reduce the prices of my pizzas to prevent a surplus of supply. My friends in turn would take note of the opportunity and buy the pizzas for a lower price. Sadly I am unable to use friendship as an excuse to overcharge. An example of graph is shown below.


Despite the concept of supply and demand, there is also a case where by prices on certain items and goods do not affect the demand for it. This concept is called price elasticity. Price elasticity is defined as the responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a good to a change in its price when all other influences on buying plans remain the same. If the demand for a good is inelastic, a large increase or decrease in the price of that good would not change the quantity demanded of that good. You can take note of it that price elasticity applies to goods that are needed such as food and living space. If I sold a pencil for $2.00 each as the normal market price and decide to sell it at $2.10 instead people would not buy the good from me since they can buy it elsewhere. This means that the demand for my pencil is elastic. However, if I were a major supplier of a much needed good such as sugar and salt and the usual price for it is $5.00 for 1kg and I decide to overcharge for my own profit and change it to $10.00 per kg instead, the demand for my salt or sugar would drop only by a little since restaurants and other sectors of businesses need both salt and sugar to sell food. Hence, the demand for my salt and sugar is inelastic.

By Daniel Ong

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